Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 8.426950 9.798492 11.273848 12.973188 14.870607 16.918120 19.288646
2025-03-23 6.698195 8.476290 10.514228 13.003245 15.940576 19.275814 23.327235
2025-03-30 5.477269 7.459674 9.858199 12.933639 16.729085 21.215235 26.870441
2025-04-06 4.674349 6.794877 9.484860 13.080210 17.686134 23.312103 30.618693
2025-04-13 4.052386 6.255526 9.173222 13.219793 18.575734 25.305165 34.268243
2025-04-20 3.640367 5.931925 9.085141 13.601793 19.749792 27.661206 38.423300
2025-04-27 3.262360 5.599935 8.935687 13.860129 20.738425 29.784041 42.324847
2025-05-04 2.868631 5.190164 8.625769 13.850327 21.332711 31.379793 45.562195
2025-05-11 2.384421 4.575586 7.951202 13.252568 21.051008 31.755591 47.153782
2025-05-18 2.066902 4.186108 7.571789 13.043591 21.284130 32.813675 49.669493
2025-05-25 1.775015 3.799796 7.156235 12.738318 21.341922 33.605735 51.818135
2025-06-01 1.552579 3.504979 6.856540 12.581303 21.594998 34.663336 54.347341
2025-06-08 1.326633 3.174372 6.468462 12.257302 21.578620 35.333998 56.358309
2025-06-15 1.192399 3.000841 6.330934 12.325092 22.159216 36.884838 59.663902
2025-06-22 1.057044 2.805080 6.133978 12.275001 22.542801 38.145091 62.571186
2025-06-29 0.963705 2.683519 6.058952 12.422749 23.241203 39.891333 66.229176
2025-07-06 0.878896 2.567891 5.983046 12.559793 23.921109 41.622068 69.900096
2025-07-13 0.828558 2.523145 6.037681 12.927905 24.991398 43.978290 74.559136
2025-07-20 0.769695 2.449631 6.028346 13.176592 25.866838 46.050236 78.831193
2025-07-27 0.691189 2.315785 5.885009 13.167424 26.300087 47.433619 82.079545
2025-08-03 0.572112 2.056644 5.456852 12.593471 25.731636 47.200626 82.825713
2025-08-10 0.498312 1.902667 5.234190 12.392872 25.797008 47.975907 85.142022
2025-08-17 0.426813 1.740033 4.974710 12.099842 25.679637 48.442153 86.974406